ISSN 2097-5724 CN 61-1535/R 主管·主办:陕西省疾病预防控制中心
疾病预防与控制 Disease Prevention and Control 医学学术期刊 双月刊
2025-06-064 检验与方法 2025, (06)

肺源性脓毒症致病菌耐药性危险因素及早期预测分析

南京医科大学附属江宁医院、南京医科大学附属金陵 医院

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摘要

摘要:目的 探讨肺源性脓毒症患者致病菌耐药性危险因素及早期预测分析,为临床诊疗决策提供参考意见。 方法 回顾性收集 2019 年 1 月至 2023 年 12 月南京医科大学附属金陵医院急诊收治的经痰液培养致病菌脓毒症患者 267 例,根据药敏试验结果分为多重耐药菌和非多重耐药菌,采用二元 Logistic 逐步回归分析相关影响因素,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线及 ROC 曲线下面积(AUC)分析 D- 二聚体(D-D)、降钙素原(PCT)、血小板计数(PLT)早期预测多重耐药的价值。结果 多重耐药组白细胞计数(WBC)、中性粒细胞计数(NEUT)、 PCT 低于非多重耐药组,PLT、D-D 高于非多重耐药组(P<0.05);PCT、PLT 降低和 D-D 升高提示该肺源性脓毒症患者致病菌为耐药菌的可能性更大;D-D 预测多重耐药的 AUC 为 0.826,PCT 预测多重耐药的 AUC 为 0.824, PLT 预测多重耐药的 AUC 为 0.644,PCT 与 D-D 联合预测的 AUC 为 0.889。结论 D-D、PCT 两者联合检测对肺源 性脓毒症致病菌耐药性的早期预测具有良好的应用价值,优于两者单项检测。在临床上面对肺源性脓毒症患者 时,可结合 D-D、PCT 的最佳临界值,早期预测耐药性发生,及早进行干预,提高疗效,为临床治疗、管理等提供客观依据。

Abstract

Abstract: Objective To explore the risk factors for drug resistance of pathogenic bacteria in patients with pulmonary sepsis and conduct early prediction analysis, providing reference for clinical diagnosis and treatment decisions. Methods A retrospective collection was made of 267 patients with sepsis caused by pathogenic bacteria identified through sputum culture, admitted to the emergency department of Jinling Hospital, Nanjing Medical University from January 2019 to December 2023. These patients were divided into multidrug-resistant and non-multidrug-resistant groups based on antimicrobial susceptibility test results. Binary Logistic stepwise regression was used to analyze the related influencing factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to analyze the early predictive value of D-dimer (D-D), procalcitonin (PCT), and platelet count (PLT) for multidrug resistance. Results The white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEUT), and PCT in the multidrug-resistant group were lower than those in the non-multidrug-resistant group, while PLT and D-D were higher (P<0.05). Decreased PCT and PLT and increased D-D suggest a higher possibility of drug-resistant pathogenic bacteria in patients with pulmonary sepsis. The AUC for D-D in predicting multidrug resistance was 0.826, for PCT was 0.824, for PLT was 0.644, and for the combined prediction of PCT and D-D was 0.889. Conclusion The combined detection of D-D and PCT has good application value in the early prediction of drug resistance in pathogenic bacteria of pulmonary sepsis, which is superior to the single detection of either. In clinical practice, when dealing with patients with pulmonary sepsis, the optimal cut off values of D-D and PCT can be used for early prediction of drug resistance, early intervention, and improvement of therapeutic efficacy, providing an Objective basis for clinical treatment and management.

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[1]张士卿.肺源性脓毒症致病菌耐药性危险因素及早期预测分析[J],2025,01(06):.